F

Vistra Corp. — Earnings Quality Grade F

VST · Utilities

Major red flags

Revenue
$17.7B
2025
Net Income
$944M
2025
Gross Margin
32.9%
Free Cash Flow
$1.3B
01

Screening Summary

11
Passed
3
Watch
3
Failed
-2.54
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 48 days, change +6 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 3.0%, CFFO -10.8%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 4.7% vs COGS 22.7%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 32.4% is >2x revenue growth 3.0%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 29.4%, excellent (<30%)

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung -10.8pp (43.7% → 32.9%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 4.31. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $1.3B, FCF/NI = 1.40

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -7.5%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.8B covers only 4% of debt $20.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $5.2B = 103% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 4.0x. Healthy

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 29.1% vs revenue 3.0%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 4% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.54 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.54
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.138
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.328
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.992
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.03
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.977
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.04
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0752
TATA
Accruals level
1.054
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

0.07
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.0634
Liquidity
-0.0003
Cumulative profit
0.0507
Operating efficiency
0.1399
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Vistra Corp. (VST) 财报排雷评级 F — EarningsGrade