F

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Co — Earnings Quality Grade F

VAC · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$5.0B
2025
Net Income
-$308M
2025
Gross Margin
37.5%
Free Cash Flow
-$29M
01

Screening Summary

12
Passed
2
Watch
4
Failed
-2.63
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 20 days, change +1 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 8.4% vs revenue growth 1.3%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 1.3%, CFFO -86.3%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -5.9% vs COGS 1.0%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 0.0% vs revenue 1.3%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 62.8%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 37.5%, change +0.2pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -3.4%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.4B covers only 7% of debt $5.7B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $3.7B = 184% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 298.9x (>4x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 12.3% vs revenue 1.3%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs surged 253% YoY, = 34% of NI. Possible big bath

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -6% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.63 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.63
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.07
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.995
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.97
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.013
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.818
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.012
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0344
TATA
Accruals level
1.081
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

2.41
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.3172
Liquidity
0.0445
Cumulative profit
-0.0133
Operating efficiency
0.2567
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25