F

Serve Robotics Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

SERV · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$3M
2025
Net Income
-$101M
2025
Gross Margin
-580.2%
Free Cash Flow
-$118M
01

Screening Summary

6
Passed
4
Watch
6
Failed
21.4
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 100 days (18 → 117)

Small-cap context: DSO swings on a small revenue base are more often quarterly customer-mix effects than red flags.

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 46.2% but CFFO declined -272.5%

Small-cap context: Small-cap revenue/CFFO ratio is sensitive to growth-stage working-capital draws.

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 268.1% is >2x revenue growth 46.2%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = -260.2%, excellent (<30%)

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung -576.1pp (-4.1% → -580.2%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.1B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -5.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers debt $0.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 13% of equity. Manageable

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -37589.7x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 91.5% vs revenue 46.2%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

Insufficient data

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = 21.40 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability21.4
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
6.69
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.007
GMI
Gross margin declining?
48.793
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.462
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.162
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
2.565
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0574
TATA
Accruals level
0.742
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

21.95
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.6194
Liquidity
-0.568
Cumulative profit
-0.2856
Operating efficiency
20.6235
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25