F

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. — Earnings Quality Grade F

RCL · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$17.9B
2025
Net Income
$4.3B
2025
Gross Margin
49.4%
Free Cash Flow
$1.2B
01

Screening Summary

14
Passed
1
Watch
2
Failed
-2.85
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 6 days, change -2 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -14.6% vs revenue growth 8.8%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 8.8%, CFFO 22.8%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -0.4% vs COGS 5.0%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 60.0% is >2x revenue growth 8.8%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 25.1%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 49.4%, change +1.8pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.51. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF < 50% of Net Income for 2 years

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -5.3%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.8B covers only 4% of debt $22.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.8B = 8% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 3.1x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 11.5% vs revenue 8.8%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 0% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.85 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.85
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.785
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.963
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.964
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.088
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.039
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.962
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0528
TATA
Accruals level
0.951
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

0.11
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.2365
Liquidity
0.1424
Cumulative profit
0.1289
Operating efficiency
0.3199
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL) 财报排雷评级 F — EarningsGrade