F

National Presto Industries, Inc — Earnings Quality Grade F

NPK · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$504M
2025
Net Income
$33M
2025
Gross Margin
16.0%
Free Cash Flow
-$36M
01

Screening Summary

9
Passed
3
Watch
5
Failed
-1.78
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 62 days, change +3 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 29.7%, CFFO 82.9%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 10.4% vs COGS 36.7%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 259.0% is >2x revenue growth 29.7%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 44.7%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 16.0%, change -4.3pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = -0.28. Only -28% of profit backed by cash

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF < 50% of Net Income for 2 years

!
C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 8.4%. Elevated

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 11% of debt $0.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 5% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 0.7x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Insufficient data

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs normal

05

Acquisition Risk

!
E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 2/3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -7% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -1.78 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

持仓监控

把 NPK 放进持续监控

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-1.78
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.053
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.269
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.592
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.297
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.412
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.869
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.0843
TATA
Accruals level
1.155
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

11.01
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.6153
Liquidity
0.7581
Cumulative profit
0.0858
Operating efficiency
3.742
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25