F

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings — Earnings Quality Grade F

NCLH · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$9.8B
2025
Net Income
$423M
2025
Gross Margin
42.6%
Free Cash Flow
-$1.2B
01

Screening Summary

11
Passed
3
Watch
3
Failed
-2.59
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 11 days, change +2 days YoY

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 31.7% exceeds revenue growth 3.7%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 3.7%, CFFO 1.9%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -7.7% vs COGS -0.9%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 169.2% is >2x revenue growth 3.7%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 37.0%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 42.6%, change +2.6pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 4.94. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF < 50% of Net Income for 2 years

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -7.4%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers only 1% of debt $14.6B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.6B = 29% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 5.7x (>4x). Interest coverage = 1.6x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 12.2% vs revenue 3.7%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

!
E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 2/3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 0% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.59 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.59
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.271
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.938
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.962
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.037
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.953
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.041
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0739
TATA
Accruals level
0.968
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-1.53
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.1914
Liquidity
-0.247
Cumulative profit
0.0613
Operating efficiency
0.1087
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) 财报排雷评级 F — EarningsGrade