F

Moderna, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

MRNA · Healthcare

Major red flags

Revenue
$1.9B
2025
Net Income
-$2.8B
2025
Gross Margin
54.8%
Free Cash Flow
-$2.1B
01

Screening Summary

11
Passed
4
Watch
2
Failed
-3.5
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 35 days, change -6 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -48.6% vs revenue growth -39.9%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -39.9%, CFFO 37.6%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 30.8% exceeds COGS -40.7%

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -80.8% vs revenue -39.9%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 96.6%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 54.8%, change +0.6pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-2.1B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -7.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $5.8B covers debt $1.3B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.1B = 1% of equity. Manageable

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -307.4x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -6.4% vs revenue -39.9%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 5% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -3.50 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-3.5
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.855
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.989
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.092
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.601
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.858
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.443
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0769
TATA
Accruals level
1.339
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

5.29
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.3693
Liquidity
0.5854
Cumulative profit
-0.2235
Operating efficiency
2.3454
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-09

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) 财报排雷评级 F — EarningsGrade