F

LyondellBasell Industries NV — Earnings Quality Grade F

LYB · Basic Materials

Major red flags

Revenue
$30.2B
2025
Net Income
-$745M
2025
Gross Margin
8.5%
Free Cash Flow
$384M
01

Screening Summary

14
Passed
2
Watch
2
Failed
-2.88
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 29 days, change -6 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -24.3% vs revenue growth -9.7%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -9.7%, CFFO -40.8%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -24.2% vs COGS -4.1%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 2.1% vs revenue -9.7%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 62.5%. Normal

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung -5.4pp (13.9% → 8.5%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

!
C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = -3.04. Below 1.0

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.4B, FCF/NI = -0.52

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -8.8%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $3.4B covers only 24% of debt $14.6B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $1.2B = 11% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 12.6x (>4x). Interest coverage = 1.7x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -6.4% vs revenue -9.7%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs normal

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -46% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.88 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.88
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.838
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.627
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.876
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.903
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.136
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.086
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0884
TATA
Accruals level
1.113
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

1.97
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1394
Liquidity
0.2003
Cumulative profit
-0.0067
Operating efficiency
0.4237
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) 财报排雷评级 F — EarningsGrade