F

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

KDP · Consumer Defensive

Major red flags

Revenue
$16.6B
2025
Net Income
$2.1B
2025
Gross Margin
54.2%
Free Cash Flow
$1.5B
01

Screening Summary

13
Passed
1
Watch
3
Failed
-2.36
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 37 days, change +1 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 8.2%, CFFO -10.3%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 33.4% exceeds COGS 11.5%

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -19.1% vs revenue 8.2%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 59.5%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 54.2%, change -1.4pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 0.96. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $1.5B, FCF/NI = 0.72

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 0.2%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $1.0B covers only 6% of debt $16.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $44.0B = 172% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 3.8x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 7.9% vs revenue 8.2%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 1% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.36 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.36
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.029
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.025
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.974
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.082
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.049
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.987
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.0016
TATA
Accruals level
0.978
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

1.28
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.0545
Liquidity
0.1014
Cumulative profit
0.062
Operating efficiency
0.8522
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-08

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) 财报排雷评级 F — EarningsGrade