F

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

HCC · Basic Materials

Major red flags

Revenue
$1.3B
2025
Net Income
$57M
2025
Gross Margin
8.5%
Free Cash Flow
-$100M
01

Screening Summary

11
Passed
3
Watch
3
Failed
-1.99
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 17 days (34 → 51)

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -14.1%, CFFO -37.6%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 13.7% vs COGS -0.7%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -27.9% vs revenue -14.1%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 59.0%. Normal

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung -12.4pp (20.9% → 8.5%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 4.02. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF < 50% of Net Income for 3 years

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.2%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.4B covers debt $0.3B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 1.1x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 3.7% vs revenue -14.1%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

!
E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 2/3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

!
F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -1.99 (grey zone)

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-1.99
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.501
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
2.455
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.438
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.859
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.212
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0619
TATA
Accruals level
1.182
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

7.2
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.2023
Liquidity
0.6792
Cumulative profit
0.0231
Operating efficiency
3.3333
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25