F

First Watch Restaurant Group, I — Earnings Quality Grade F

FWRG · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$1.2B
2025
Net Income
$19M
2025
Gross Margin
19.2%
Free Cash Flow
-$32M
01

Screening Summary

11
Passed
1
Watch
5
Failed
-2.6
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 1 days, change +0 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 22.3% vs revenue growth 20.3%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 20.3%, CFFO 8.9%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 17.3% vs COGS 23.1%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 23.2% vs revenue 20.3%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 55.0%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 19.2%, change -1.8pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 6.48. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF < 50% of Net Income for 3 years

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.1%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 2% of debt $1.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.6B = 95% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 9.7x (>4x). Interest coverage = 1.8x (<2x). Financial stress

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 48.7% vs revenue 20.3%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 5% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.60 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.6
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.017
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.093
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.916
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.203
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.949
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.946
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0611
TATA
Accruals level
1.159
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

0.19
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.068
Liquidity
-0.0197
Cumulative profit
0.0166
Operating efficiency
0.5613
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25