F

Firefly Aerospace Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

FLY · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$160M
2025
Net Income
-$298M
2025
Gross Margin
19.2%
Free Cash Flow
-$238M
01

Screening Summary

5
Passed
5
Watch
7
Failed
13.51
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 99 days (6 → 105)

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 4494.5% exceeds revenue growth 163.0%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 163.0% but CFFO declined -30.0%

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 0.4% vs revenue 163.0%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 297.5%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin rose +37.9pp while AR increased and AP decreased. Fraud pattern

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.2B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -5.1%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.9B covers debt $0.3B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.6B = 52% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -12.1x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -71.0% vs revenue 163.0%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

!
E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles surged 3502% YoY

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = 13.51 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability13.51
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
17.473
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
-0.975
GMI
Gross margin declining?
2.088
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
2.63
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.666
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.741
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0512
TATA
Accruals level
0.344
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

1.68
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.4108
Liquidity
-0.5591
Cumulative profit
-0.172
Operating efficiency
1.8739
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25