F

Expand Energy Corporation — Earnings Quality Grade F

EXE · Energy

Major red flags

Revenue
$12.2B
2025
Net Income
$1.8B
2025
Gross Margin
50.8%
Free Cash Flow
$1.6B
01

Screening Summary

14
Passed
1
Watch
2
Failed
-2.08
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 41 days, change -48 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 32.6% vs revenue growth 188.8%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 188.8%, CFFO 192.3%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 88.2% vs revenue 188.8%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 53.9%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin rose +23.8pp while AR increased and AP decreased. Fraud pattern

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 2.52. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $1.6B, FCF/NI = 0.90

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -9.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.6B covers only 12% of debt $5.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 0.9x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -18.0% vs revenue 188.8%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

!
F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.08 (grey zone)

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.08
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.459
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.532
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.645
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
2.888
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.773
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0974
TATA
Accruals level
0.927
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

3.17
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0005
Liquidity
0.1707
Cumulative profit
0.089
Operating efficiency
1.9135
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) 财报排雷评级 F — EarningsGrade