F

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

CWST · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$1.8B
2025
Net Income
$8M
2025
Gross Margin
33.8%
Free Cash Flow
$84M
01

Screening Summary

11
Passed
3
Watch
3
Failed
-2.82
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 35 days, change -4 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 7.3% vs revenue growth 18.0%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 18.0%, CFFO 17.2%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 13.1% vs COGS 18.4%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 20.8% vs revenue 18.0%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 36.2%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 33.8%, change -0.3pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

!
C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO far exceeds NI (ratio 41.9x). Non-cash charges depressing profits

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.1B, FCF/NI = 10.68

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -9.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.1B covers only 10% of debt $1.2B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $1.4B = 90% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = 1.5x (<2x). Financial stress

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 332.1% vs revenue 18.0%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 7% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.82 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.82
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.91
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.008
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.112
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.18
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.87
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.997
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0974
TATA
Accruals level
0.995
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

1.12
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0228
Liquidity
-0.0379
Cumulative profit
0.022
Operating efficiency
0.9044
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25