C

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade C

CF · Basic Materials

Some red flags

Revenue
$7.1B
2025
Net Income
$1.5B
2025
Gross Margin
38.5%
Free Cash Flow
$1.8B
01

Screening Summary

14
Passed
2
Watch
1
Failed
-2.82
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 23 days, change -0 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 17.5% vs revenue growth 19.3%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 19.3%, CFFO 21.2%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 22.0% vs COGS 12.4%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 82.5% is >2x revenue growth 19.3%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 13.4%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 38.5%, change +3.8pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.89. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $1.8B, FCF/NI = 1.24

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -9.2%. Low accruals

!
C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $2.0B covers 55% of debt $3.6B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $3.0B = 61% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 1.1x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 17.6% vs revenue 19.3%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -1% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.82 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.82
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.984
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.901
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.964
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.193
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.043
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.953
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0921
TATA
Accruals level
1.035
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

3.82
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1489
Liquidity
0.275
Cumulative profit
0.1692
Operating efficiency
0.7664
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) 财报排雷评级 C — EarningsGrade