F

Carnival Corporation — Earnings Quality Grade F

CCL · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$26.6B
2025
Net Income
$2.8B
2025
Gross Margin
40.1%
Free Cash Flow
$2.6B
01

Screening Summary

14
Passed
2
Watch
1
Failed
-2.68
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 9 days, change +1 days YoY

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 14.9% exceeds revenue growth 6.4%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 6.4%, CFFO 5.0%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -0.4% vs COGS 2.0%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -21.9% vs revenue 6.4%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 31.9%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 40.1%, change +2.6pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 2.25. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $2.6B, FCF/NI = 0.94

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $1.9B covers only 7% of debt $28.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $1.8B = 14% of equity. Manageable

!
D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 4.1x (>4x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 14.8% vs revenue 6.4%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 1% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.68 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.68
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.08
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.935
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.998
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.064
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.954
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.983
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0669
TATA
Accruals level
0.938
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

0.04
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.1717
Liquidity
0.0932
Cumulative profit
0.0797
Operating efficiency
0.3118
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Carnival Corporation (CCL) 财报排雷评级 F — EarningsGrade