F

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

BRCB · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$200M
2025
Net Income
-$0M
2025
Gross Margin
29.3%
Free Cash Flow
-$33M
01

Screening Summary

5
Passed
6
Watch
5
Failed
-2.08
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 6 days, change -3 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -21.2% vs revenue growth 24.5%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 24.5% but CFFO declined -83.5%

Small-cap context: Small-cap revenue/CFFO ratio is sensitive to growth-stage working-capital draws.

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 41.0% exceeds COGS 22.2%

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 54.1% is >2x revenue growth 24.5%

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 70.4%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 29.3%, change +1.3pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -0.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 17% of debt $0.2B

04

Balance Sheet Health

!
D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 33% of equity

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 27.7x (>4x). Interest coverage = 0.5x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Insufficient data

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -9% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

!
F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.08 (grey zone)

持仓监控

把 BRCB 放进持续监控

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.08
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.633
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.954
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.972
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.245
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.122
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.314
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0067
TATA
Accruals level
0.333
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

0.11
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0046
Liquidity
-0.0002
Cumulative profit
-0.0187
Operating efficiency
0.1971
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25