F

Bally's Corporation — Earnings Quality Grade F

BALY · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$2.5B
2025
Net Income
-$568M
2025
Gross Margin
54.2%
Free Cash Flow
-$133M
01

Screening Summary

4
Passed
6
Watch
7
Failed
-0.34
M-Score

管理层信号

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Routine2026-02-02
Soohyung Kim · Director任命
Standard appointment
SEC

数据来源:SEC EDGAR 8-K Item 5.02,附 Exhibit 99.1 链接

02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 21 days (8 → 29)

Small-cap context: DSO swings on a small revenue base are more often quarterly customer-mix effects than red flags.

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 249.5% exceeds revenue growth 0.1%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 0.1%, CFFO -39.6%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 189.1% exceeds COGS 1.6%

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -50.8% vs revenue 0.1%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 73.5%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 54.2%, change -0.7pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.1B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.1%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.8B covers only 12% of debt $6.4B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $6.4B = 647% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 55.2x (>4x). Interest coverage = -0.1x (<2x). Financial stress

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 376.8% vs revenue 0.1%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

!
E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles surged 107% YoY

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -0.34 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-0.34
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
3.493
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.013
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.137
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.001
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.174
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.098
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0607
TATA
Accruals level
0.807
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-0.42
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.0303
Liquidity
-0.0579
Cumulative profit
-0.0234
Operating efficiency
0.1145
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25