F

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

ASPN · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$271M
2025
Net Income
-$390M
2025
Gross Margin
17.0%
Free Cash Flow
-$5M
01

Screening Summary

9
Passed
6
Watch
2
Failed
-1.31
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 47 days, change -40 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -67.7% vs revenue growth -40.1%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -40.1%, CFFO -27.8%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -19.6% vs COGS -16.6%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -56.6% vs revenue -40.1%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 182.6%, exceeds 70%

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung -23.4pp (40.4% → 17.0%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

!
C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = -0.08. Below 1.0

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -103.9%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -4.8x (<2x). Financial stress

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 656.0% vs revenue -40.1%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -1.31 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

持仓监控

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-1.31
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.54
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
2.381
GMI
Gross margin declining?
16.641
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.599
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.166
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.313
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-1.0387
TATA
Accruals level
1.263
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-10.29
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.4427
Liquidity
-2.5813
Cumulative profit
-0.9256
Operating efficiency
1.376
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25