F

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. — Earnings Quality Grade F

AMBP · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$5.5B
2025
Net Income
$11M
2025
Gross Margin
12.4%
Free Cash Flow
$265M
01

Screening Summary

10
Passed
2
Watch
4
Failed
-2.39
M-Score

管理层信号

最近 SEC 8-K 文件中未发现 CEO、CFO、董事会或审计负责人变动信号。
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 23 days, change +7 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 12.0% but CFFO declined -0.2%

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 33.2% exceeds COGS 12.6%

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -1.6% vs revenue 12.0%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 43.9%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 12.4%, change -0.4pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

!
C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO far exceeds NI (ratio 40.8x). Non-cash charges depressing profits

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.3B, FCF/NI = 24.09

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -7.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.5B covers only 12% of debt $4.4B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $1.2B = -173% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 6.8x (>4x). Interest coverage = 1.3x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Insufficient data

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -3% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.39 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.39
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.399
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.036
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.942
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.12
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.986
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.927
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0771
TATA
Accruals level
1.106
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-0.32
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0195
Liquidity
-0.1712
Cumulative profit
0.0335
Operating efficiency
-0.1075
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25