F

The AES Corporation — Earnings Quality Grade F

AES · Utilities

Major red flags

Revenue
$12.2B
2025
Net Income
$910M
2025
Gross Margin
18.1%
Free Cash Flow
-$1.6B
01

Screening Summary

12
Passed
0
Watch
6
Failed
-2.73
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 50 days, change +1 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -0.4%, CFFO 56.5%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 3.2% vs COGS 0.6%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -19.8% vs revenue -0.4%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 10.9%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 18.1%, change -0.8pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 4.73. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF < 50% of Net Income for 3 years

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.6%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $1.6B covers only 5% of debt $29.9B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $2.4B = 59% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 10.2x (>4x). Interest coverage = 1.4x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -19.8% vs revenue -0.4%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs normal

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 4% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.73 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.73
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.026
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.043
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.921
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.996
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.99
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.84
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0656
TATA
Accruals level
0.95
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

0.08
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.0384
Liquidity
0.0124
Cumulative profit
0.0286
Operating efficiency
0.0952
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

The AES Corporation (AES) 财报排雷评级 F — EarningsGrade