F

FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) FY2025 Earnings Quality Report

FE·FY2025·English

Grade: F — Major Red Flags

Framework: Schilit *Financial Shenanigans* + Beneish M-Score + forensic accounting principles

Data: SEC EDGAR 10-K (Filed 2026-02-18) + Yahoo Finance

Auditor: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP — Clean opinion (1 critical audit matter: accounting for effects of rate regulation)

One-line verdict: FirstEnergy is a regulated electric utility operating across six states (Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, West Virginia, Maryland, Virginia) with a dark recent history — the $60M bribery scandal involving Ohio House Bill 6 that led to a deferred prosecution agreement, executive terminations, and an ongoing corporate rehabilitation. Revenue grew 12.0% to $15.1B, net income increased modestly from $978M to $1.02B, but CFFO surged 28% to $3.7B. The F grade reflects structural utility factors (negative FCF, $57M cash vs $26.6B debt, 6.2x leverage) plus an elevated goodwill position ($5.6B = 45% of equity), the highest ratio among this utility peer group. FirstEnergy carries the additional distinction of having the lowest Z-Score (0.36) in this batch — though this is structural, not a solvency concern. The compliance reforms post-scandal appear substantive, but the company's capital requirements continue growing with its $2.5B West Virginia generation investment and $5.4B transmission rate base.

Grade: F — Major Red Flags
MetricResult
Red Flags**3** (financial 3 + management 0; FCF negative, cash vs debt, FCF after acquisitions negative)
Watch Items**2** (financial 2 + management 0; goodwill 45% of equity, leverage 6.2x)
Checks Completed**20/23** (financial 15/18 + management 5/5 G1-G5)
Beneish M-Score**N/A** (insufficient data)
Altman Z-Score**0.36** (distress zone)

Business Overview

From the 10-K, FirstEnergy is a diversified energy company with a portfolio of regulated electric distribution and transmission operations. The company operates through three segments: Regulated Distribution, Stand-Alone Transmission, and Corporate/Other. The Electric Companies include OE, CEI, TE, FE PA, JCP&L, MP, and PE, serving customers across six states.

From the 10-K: "FirstEnergy's Stand-Alone Transmission segment, which consists of FE's ownership in FET and KATCo, representing $5.4 billion in FirstEnergy-owned rate base as of December 31, 2025, includes transmission infrastructure owned and operated by the Transmission Companies." Transmission revenues are derived from FERC-approved forward-looking formula rates with annual true-ups.

In West Virginia, the 10-K discloses a major generation investment: "proposing, among other things, the addition of 70 MWs of solar generation by 2028, and 1,200 MWs of natural gas combined cycle generation by 2031, which are expected to require an estimated capital investment of approximately $2.5 billion."

Financial Summary (from 10-K)

Financial Summary (from 10-K)
MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Trend
Revenue$12.5B$12.9B$13.5B$15.1BGrowing
Net Income$406M$1.10B$978M$1.02BVolatile
Gross Margin63.1%63.9%67.5%65.3%High
Net Margin3.3%8.6%7.3%6.8%Moderate
ROE4.0%10.6%7.9%8.2%Normalizing

FY2022 net income of $406M was depressed by the Ohio bribery scandal aftermath. FY2023's $1.10B included recovery effects. The business has since normalized at approximately $1.0B in annual net income. Gross margin of 65.3% is characteristic of a transmission-and-distribution utility with no fuel procurement costs (the Electric Companies are distribution-only in most states).

Cash Flow

Cash Flow
MetricFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025
Operating Cash Flow$2.68B$1.39B$2.89B$3.70B
CFFO / NI6.611.262.963.63
Free Cash Flow$(165M)$(1.97B)$(1.14B)$(1.01B)
Cash on Hand$160M$137M$111M$57M

CFFO/NI of 3.63 is one of the highest in this peer group, indicating strong cash conversion. The elevated ratio reflects FirstEnergy's large D&A charges and working capital generation. FCF has been consistently negative, with cash on hand declining from $160M to $57M over four years — essentially zero liquidity cushion.

The 18-Point Screening

Revenue Quality

Revenue Quality
#CheckResultDetail
A1DSOPass23 days, -1 day YoY. Fast collections
A2AR vs RevenuePassAR growth 8.3% vs revenue growth 12.0%
A3Revenue vs CFFOPassRevenue +12.0%, CFFO +28.0%. Cash follows revenue

Revenue quality is clean. DSO of 23 days is low, and AR growing slower than revenue is a positive signal. CFFO growth of 28% significantly outpaced revenue growth of 12%, indicating genuine operating leverage.

Expense Quality

Expense Quality
#CheckResultDetail
B1InventoryPassInventory +5.1% vs COGS +19.6%. Normal
B2CapExPassCapEx +16.7% vs revenue +12.0%. Normal
B3SG&A RatioN/AUtility cost structure
B4Gross MarginPass65.3%, -2.2pp. Minor decline

Cash Flow Quality

Cash Flow Quality
#CheckResultDetail
C1CFFO vs NIPassRatio 3.63. Strongly cash-backed
C2FCF**FAIL**FCF negative for 3+ years
C3AccrualsPass-4.8%. Low accruals
C4Cash vs Debt**FAIL**Cash $57M covers 0% of $26.6B debt

Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet
#CheckResultDetail
D1Goodwill + Intangibles**WATCH**$5.6B = 45% of equity
D2Leverage**WATCH**Debt/EBITDA = 6.2x
D3Soft AssetsPassOther assets +11.3% vs revenue +12.0%
D4ImpairmentN/ANo write-off data

D1: The $5.6B in goodwill represents 45% of stockholders' equity — the highest ratio in this peer group. From the 10-K: "JCP&L had approximately $1.8 billion of goodwill on our balance sheet as of December 31, 2025. Goodwill is tested for impairment annually, as of July 31, or whenever events or circumstances indicate impairment may have occurred." JCP&L's goodwill alone is $1.8B. If regulatory outcomes deteriorate or earnings decline, impairment risk is real.

D2: Leverage of 6.2x EBITDA is the highest in this peer group. Combined with $57M cash and $26.6B debt, the balance sheet is stretched thin.

Acquisition & Manipulation

Acquisition & Manipulation
#CheckResultDetail
E1Serial Acquirer**FAIL**FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years
E2Goodwill SurgePassGoodwill flat
F1M-ScoreN/AInsufficient data
**G1-G5****Management signals (new)****✅✅✅✅✅**

Management Signals (New G1-G5 Framework)

**Why separate management signals?** Schilit's *Financial Shenanigans* treats abrupt executive, auditor, and director departures as important early-warning signals. 8-K Item 5.02 executive/director changes and auditor-change filings help separate clean financial statements from governance or continuity risk.

Management Signals (New G1-G5 Framework)
#CheckResultDetail
G1CEO changeNo abnormal signal in the last 18 months
G2CFO / key financial officer changeNo abnormal signal in the last 18 months
G3Independent director / audit committee departureNo abnormal signal in the last 18 months
G4Key operating or legal leader departureNo abnormal signal in the last 18 months
G5Auditor changeNo abnormal signal in the last 18 months

Data source: SEC EDGAR 8-K filings filtered for Item 5.02 + management-signals-by-ticker.json

PwC Critical Audit Matter: Rate Regulation

From the audit report: "As of December 31, 2025, there were $829 million of regulatory assets and $1,185 million of regulatory liabilities." PwC cited "a high degree of auditor effort in performing procedures and evaluating audit evidence related to the recovery of regulatory assets and the settlement of regulatory liabilities."

PwC examined "accounting implications" and tested "regulatory assets and liabilities by considering the provisions outlined in rate orders and other correspondence with regulators."

Rate Case Detail (from 10-K)

FirstEnergy disclosed a recent rate case in West Virginia that "authorized an ROE of 9.63%." In Pennsylvania, "Commission-approved settlement agreements did not disclose allowed ROE rates, however, 10.05% represents current PAPUC benchmark ROE used for DSIC purposes." FERC formula rates provide more predictable transmission revenue recovery.

The HB6 Aftermath

While the 10-K no longer dominates with scandal disclosures as it did in prior years, FirstEnergy's 2020 deferred prosecution agreement over the $60M Ohio House Bill 6 bribery scheme remains relevant context. The company has undergone extensive governance reforms, executive turnover, and compliance enhancements. The $230M SEC settlement and criminal fines were already charged in prior years. The current management team is focused on rebuilding credibility through operational execution and regulatory compliance.

Key Risks from Item 1A

1. Cybersecurity. The 10-K flags extensive cybersecurity risks to grid infrastructure.

2. Regulatory disallowance. With $829M in regulatory assets and the $2.5B West Virginia generation investment pending regulatory approval, disallowance risk is material.

3. Goodwill impairment. JCP&L's $1.8B goodwill alone is subject to impairment if its regulated returns deteriorate.

4. Interest rate risk. With $26.6B in total debt and minimal cash, rising rates directly compress earnings.

Summary

Summary
#CheckResult
A1-A3Revenue QualityPass-Pass-Pass
B1-B4Expense QualityPass-Pass-N/A-Pass
C1-C4Cash Flow QualityPass-Fail-Pass-Fail
D1-D4Balance SheetWatch-Watch-Pass-N/A
E1-E2M&A RiskFail-Pass
F1Beneish M-ScoreN/A

Grade: F — structural utility factors plus elevated goodwill and leverage.

FirstEnergy's F grade reflects the same structural utility pattern as its peers — negative FCF, no cash, high debt — but with two company-specific aggravating factors. First, goodwill at 45% of equity is the highest in the peer group and concentrated in JCP&L. Second, leverage at 6.2x EBITDA leaves minimal financial flexibility. Revenue quality is clean, CFFO/NI is strong at 3.63, accruals are low, and the business is growing. The HB6 scandal is largely behind them financially, though reputational recovery continues.

**Disclaimer**: This report is based on FirstEnergy Corp.'s FY2025 10-K (SEC EDGAR, filed 2026-02-18) and public financial data. This is NOT investment advice.

Data: SEC EDGAR 10-K (Filed 2026-02-18) + Yahoo Finance

Auditor: PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (Unqualified opinion, 1 critical audit matter)

Portfolio monitoring

Monitor FE and your holdings continuously

The full report is free to read. Use Watchlist to track your holdings; Pro adds automatic quarterly rescoring, risk-event email alerts, scans up to 50 tickers, and PDF/CSV export workflows.

This report is based on SEC 10-K filings and public financial data. Not investment advice.