F

Xponential Fitness, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

XPOF · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$315M
2025
Net Income
-$34M
2025
Gross Margin
66.6%
Free Cash Flow
$23M
01

Screening Summary

12
Passed
2
Watch
3
Failed
-3.79
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 21 days, change -8 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -28.7% vs revenue growth -1.7%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -1.7%, CFFO 142.5%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -77.8% vs COGS -2.5%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -20.6% vs revenue -1.7%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 72.5%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 66.6%, change +0.3pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.0B, FCF/NI = -0.68

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -18.0%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 6% of debt $0.5B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.2B = -72% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 59.2x (>4x). Interest coverage = 0.9x (<2x). Financial stress

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 65.4% vs revenue -1.7%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -18% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -3.79 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-3.79
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.725
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.996
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.942
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.983
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.957
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.874
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.1797
TATA
Accruals level
1.6
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-7.84
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.0617
Liquidity
-2.1425
Cumulative profit
-0.0091
Operating efficiency
-0.375
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25