F

Turning Point Brands, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

TPB · Consumer Defensive

Major red flags

Revenue
$463M
2025
Net Income
$58M
2025
Gross Margin
57.1%
Free Cash Flow
$44M
01

Screening Summary

10
Passed
4
Watch
3
Failed
-1.29
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

!
A1DSO Change

DSO increased by 11 days

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 167.3% exceeds revenue growth 28.4%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 28.4% but CFFO declined -14.4%

Small-cap context: Small-cap revenue/CFFO ratio is sensitive to growth-stage working-capital draws.

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 12.2% vs COGS 24.9%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 192.6% is >2x revenue growth 28.4%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 63.9%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 57.1%, change +1.2pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 0.99. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.0B, FCF/NI = 0.75

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 0.1%. Low accruals

!
C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers 72% of debt $0.3B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.2B = 59% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 2.7x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -8.4% vs revenue 28.4%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 1% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -1.29 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-1.29
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
2.082
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.979
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.743
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.284
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.018
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.075
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.001
TATA
Accruals level
0.812
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

5.7
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.448
Liquidity
0.2614
Cumulative profit
0.1421
Operating efficiency
0.9044
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25