F

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

TMCI · Healthcare

Major red flags

Revenue
$213M
2025
Net Income
-$59M
2025
Gross Margin
79.8%
Free Cash Flow
-$29M
01

Screening Summary

10
Passed
5
Watch
2
Failed
-3.5
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 72 days, change +1 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 3.3% vs revenue growth 1.6%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 1.6%, CFFO 57.0%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -8.2% vs COGS 4.5%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 16.6% vs revenue 1.6%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 120.0%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 79.8%, change -0.6pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -22.6%. Low accruals

!
C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers 67% of debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 23% of equity. Manageable

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -10.2x (<2x). Financial stress

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 200.0% vs revenue 1.6%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -5% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -3.50 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-3.5
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.017
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.007
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.132
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.016
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.888
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.986
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.2258
TATA
Accruals level
1.113
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-1.77
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.5322
Liquidity
-1.3065
Cumulative profit
-0.2817
Operating efficiency
0.8458
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25