F

Smurfit WestRock plc — Earnings Quality Grade F

SW · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$31.2B
2025
Net Income
$699M
2025
Gross Margin
19.4%
Free Cash Flow
$1.2B
01

Screening Summary

15
Passed
1
Watch
2
Failed
-2.58
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 50 days, change -21 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 3.7% vs revenue growth 47.7%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 47.7%, CFFO 128.7%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 4.0% vs COGS 48.6%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 49.5% vs revenue 47.7%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 63.2%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 19.4%, change -0.5pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 4.85. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $1.2B, FCF/NI = 1.72

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.0%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.9B covers only 6% of debt $13.8B

04

Balance Sheet Health

!
D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $8.3B = 45% of equity

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 3.2x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 5.6% vs revenue 47.7%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs surged 925% YoY, = 35% of NI. Possible big bath

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 4% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.58 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.58
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.702
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.025
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.009
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.477
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.945
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0596
TATA
Accruals level
0.999
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

1.67
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0747
Liquidity
0.0588
Cumulative profit
0.0398
Operating efficiency
0.6838
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) Earnings Quality Grade F — EarningsGrade