F

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC — Earnings Quality Grade F

STX · Technology

Major red flags

Revenue
$9.1B
2025
Net Income
$1.5B
2025
Gross Margin
35.2%
Free Cash Flow
$818M
01

Screening Summary

11
Passed
3
Watch
3
Failed
-1.48
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

!
A1DSO Change

DSO increased by 15 days

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 123.5% exceeds revenue growth 38.9%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 38.9%, CFFO 18.0%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 16.2% vs COGS 17.6%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 4.3% vs revenue 38.9%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 17.5%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin rose +11.7pp while AR increased and AP decreased. Fraud pattern

03

Cash Flow Quality

!
C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 0.74. Below 1.0

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.8B, FCF/NI = 0.56

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 4.8%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.9B covers only 18% of debt $5.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $1.2B = -270% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 2.4x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -20.7% vs revenue 38.9%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 0% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -1.48 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-1.48
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.61
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.667
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.937
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.389
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.069
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.878
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.0481
TATA
Accruals level
0.889
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-1.01
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1253
Liquidity
-1.016
Cumulative profit
0.2286
Operating efficiency
-0.0534
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (STX) Earnings Quality Grade F — EarningsGrade