F

Sun Country Airlines Holdings, — Earnings Quality Grade F

SNCY · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$1.1B
2025
Net Income
$53M
2025
Gross Margin
22.4%
Free Cash Flow
$84M
01

Screening Summary

12
Passed
4
Watch
1
Failed
-2.32
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 17 days, change +5 days YoY

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 52.2% exceeds revenue growth 4.7%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 4.7%, CFFO -4.7%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 13.2% vs COGS 5.5%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 54.5% is >2x revenue growth 4.7%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 13.2%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 22.4%, change -0.5pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 2.97. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.1B, FCF/NI = 1.59

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.2%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers only 40% of debt $0.6B

04

Balance Sheet Health

!
D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.3B = 47% of equity

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 2.9x. Healthy

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 63.7% vs revenue 4.7%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -2% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.32 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.32
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.453
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.024
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.961
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.047
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.922
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.91
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0621
TATA
Accruals level
1.035
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

1.11
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.0493
Liquidity
0.119
Cumulative profit
0.0637
Operating efficiency
0.5924
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25