C

Shopify Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade C

SHOP · Technology

Some red flags

Revenue
$11.6B
2025
Net Income
$1.2B
2025
Gross Margin
48.1%
Free Cash Flow
$2.0B
01

Screening Summary

15
Passed
2
Watch
1
Failed
-2.17
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 13 days, change +2 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 30.1%, CFFO 25.8%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -19.2% vs COGS 36.1%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 36.8% vs revenue 30.1%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 38.4%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 48.1%, change -2.3pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.65. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $2.0B, FCF/NI = 1.63

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -5.3%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $5.8B covers debt $0.2B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.5B = 4% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 0.1x. Healthy

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 85.7% vs revenue 30.1%

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs normal

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 10% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

!
F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.17 (grey zone)

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.17
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.155
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.048
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.948
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.301
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.135
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.91
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0528
TATA
Accruals level
0.652
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

12.67
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.4545
Liquidity
0.1883
Cumulative profit
0.1241
Operating efficiency
7.8514
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-08

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) Earnings Quality Grade C — EarningsGrade