F

Sabre Corporation — Earnings Quality Grade F

SABR · Technology

Major red flags

Revenue
$2.8B
2025
Net Income
$525M
2025
Gross Margin
30.8%
Free Cash Flow
-$213M
01

Screening Summary

10
Passed
1
Watch
6
Failed
-1.72
M-Score

Management Signals

View all →
Routine2026-03-05
Damian McKay · DirectorAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC
Routine2026-03-05
Gail Mandel · ChairAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC
Routine2026-03-05
Mark Miller · PresidentAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC

Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K Item 5.02, with exhibit links when available

02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 41 days, change +3 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 8.8% vs revenue growth 1.0%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 1.0%, CFFO -284.9%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 4.2% vs revenue 1.0%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 65.4%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 30.8%, change +1.0pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.2B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 14.6%. Exceeds 10%

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.8B covers only 18% of debt $4.4B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $2.7B = -254% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 14.0x (>4x). Interest coverage = 0.7x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -77.2% vs revenue 1.0%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -1% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -1.72 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-1.72
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.078
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.968
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.939
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.01
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.056
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.959
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.1455
TATA
Accruals level
0.916
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-2.52
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0183
Liquidity
-0.8446
Cumulative profit
0.0463
Operating efficiency
-0.1902
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25