F

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

RCAT · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$41M
2025
Net Income
-$72M
2025
Gross Margin
3.1%
Free Cash Flow
-$96M
01

Screening Summary

7
Passed
6
Watch
4
Failed
22.48
M-Score

Management Signals

View all →
Routine2025-12-02
Christian Morrison · DirectorDeparture
SEC
Routine2025-12-02
Christian Morrison · Chief Operating OfficerAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC
High Risk2025-12-02
Christian Ericson · Chief Financial OfficerResignation
CFO resignation while company is Grade F
SEC
High Risk2025-12-02
Christian Ericson · Chief Financial OfficerAppointment
3 senior leadership changes within 90 days
SEC
Routine2025-12-02
Christian Ericson · Chief Operating OfficerAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC

Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K Item 5.02, with exhibit links when available

02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 224 days (10 → 234)

Small-cap context: DSO swings on a small revenue base are more often quarterly customer-mix effects than red flags.

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 5248.7% exceeds revenue growth 128.4%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 128.4% but CFFO declined -379.3%

Small-cap context: Small-cap revenue/CFFO ratio is sensitive to growth-stage working-capital draws.

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 81.1% vs COGS 178.7%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 2466.4% is >2x revenue growth 128.4%

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 3923.2%, exceeds 70%

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung -17.5pp (20.6% → 3.1%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.24. Profits backed by cash

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.1B)

!
C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 6.2%. Elevated

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers debt $0.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 10% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = -0.3x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Insufficient data

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs normal

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -6% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = 22.48 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability22.48
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
23.423
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
6.598
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.198
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
2.284
SGI
Revenue growth rate
3.038
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.343
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.0623
TATA
Accruals level
0.722
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

10.37
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.775
Liquidity
-0.7192
Cumulative profit
-0.2433
Operating efficiency
8.8286
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25