F

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

ORN · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$852M
2025
Net Income
$2M
2025
Gross Margin
12.4%
Free Cash Flow
-$11M
01

Screening Summary

7
Passed
8
Watch
2
Failed
-2.29
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 31 days (65 → 96)

Small-cap context: DSO swings on a small revenue base are more often quarterly customer-mix effects than red flags.

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 58.4% exceeds revenue growth 7.0%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 7.0%, CFFO 121.4%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 23.2% exceeds COGS 5.9%

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 175.8% is >2x revenue growth 7.0%

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 88.5%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 12.4%, change +0.9pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

!
C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO far exceeds NI (ratio 11.3x). Non-cash charges depressing profits

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.2%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 2% of debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = 1.4x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 6.0% vs revenue 7.0%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

!
E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 2/3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.29 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.29
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.481
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.924
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.067
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.07
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.983
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.058
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0617
TATA
Accruals level
0.988
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

1.54
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1791
Liquidity
-0.1476
Cumulative profit
0.0284
Operating efficiency
0.6221
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25