F

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

OCUL · Healthcare

Major red flags

Revenue
$52M
2025
Net Income
-$266M
2025
Gross Margin
87.3%
Free Cash Flow
-$217M
01

Screening Summary

9
Passed
4
Watch
4
Failed
-2.92
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 30 days (186 → 215)

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -18.5%, CFFO -52.1%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 17.2% vs COGS 16.9%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 832.5% is >2x revenue growth -18.5%

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 260.7%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 87.3%, change -3.8pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.2B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -7.6%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.7B covers debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -22.8x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 0.0% vs revenue -18.5%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.92 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.92
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.161
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.044
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.567
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.815
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.312
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.419
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0756
TATA
Accruals level
0.63
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

3.62
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.905
Liquidity
-1.4319
Cumulative profit
-0.3145
Operating efficiency
4.2558
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25