F

Nuvation Bio Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

NUVB · Healthcare

Major red flags

Revenue
$63M
2025
Net Income
-$205M
2025
Gross Margin
85.2%
Free Cash Flow
-$182M
01

Screening Summary

7
Passed
5
Watch
4
Failed
2.23
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 93 days, change -497 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 26.4% vs revenue growth 699.0%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 699.0% but CFFO declined -33.0%

Small-cap context: Small-cap revenue/CFFO ratio is sensitive to growth-stage working-capital draws.

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Insufficient data

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 5056.8% is >2x revenue growth 699.0%

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 282.7%, exceeds 70%

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung +75.1pp (10.1% → 85.2%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.2B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -5.2%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.5B covers debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -15.6x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 12.5% vs revenue 699.0%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = 2.23 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

Small-cap context: Beneish M-Score was calibrated on large-caps; small-cap DSO/inventory volatility mechanically inflates it.

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability2.23
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.158
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.118
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.503
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
7.99
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.666
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.274
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0525
TATA
Accruals level
2.02
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-1.76
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.8226
Liquidity
-1.8751
Cumulative profit
-0.321
Operating efficiency
1.0575
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25