F

Neuropace, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

NPCE · Healthcare

Major red flags

Revenue
$100M
2025
Net Income
-$21M
2025
Gross Margin
77.2%
Free Cash Flow
-$11M
01

Screening Summary

8
Passed
5
Watch
4
Failed
-3
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 54 days, change -5 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 14.2% vs revenue growth 25.1%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 25.1%, CFFO 38.7%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 26.3% far exceeds COGS 9.3%, margin rising. Fraud signal

Small-cap context: Inventory ratios on a small base are noisy; a single product launch can move them sharply.

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 8.5% vs revenue 25.1%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 85.0%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin rose +3.3pp while AR increased and AP decreased. Fraud pattern

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -9.9%. Low accruals

!
C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.1B covers 86% of debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -2.2x (<2x). Financial stress

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 71.5% vs revenue 25.1%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -3.00 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-3
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.913
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.957
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.51
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.251
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.818
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.919
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0991
TATA
Accruals level
0.921
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-12.98
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.7224
Liquidity
-5.2329
Cumulative profit
-0.1327
Operating efficiency
0.2199
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25