F

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cott — Earnings Quality Grade F

NGVC · Consumer Defensive

Major red flags

Revenue
$1.3B
2025
Net Income
$46M
2025
Gross Margin
29.9%
Free Cash Flow
$24M
01

Screening Summary

16
Passed
0
Watch
1
Failed
-2.5
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 3 days, change -0 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -5.1% vs revenue growth 7.2%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 7.2%, CFFO -25.0%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 10.2% vs COGS 6.4%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -18.9% vs revenue 7.2%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 10.4%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 29.9%, change +0.5pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.19. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.0B, FCF/NI = 0.52

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -1.3%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 5% of debt $0.3B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 8% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 3.5x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 0.0% vs revenue 7.2%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 24% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.50 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.5
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.885
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.983
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.206
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.072
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.957
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.043
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0132
TATA
Accruals level
0.946
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

1.93
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0139
Liquidity
0.2227
Cumulative profit
0.0925
Operating efficiency
0.4636
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25