F

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc — Earnings Quality Grade F

NGS · Energy

Major red flags

Revenue
$172M
2025
Net Income
$20M
2025
Gross Margin
37.1%
Free Cash Flow
-$59M
01

Screening Summary

11
Passed
4
Watch
3
Failed
-2.55
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 39 days, change +3 days YoY

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 18.4% exceeds revenue growth 9.9%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 9.9%, CFFO -5.3%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 14.4% vs COGS 8.3%. Normal

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 69.0% is >2x revenue growth 9.9%

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 35.1%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 37.1%, change +0.9pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 3.16. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF < 50% of Net Income for 3 years

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -7.3%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 0% of debt $0.2B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 3.0x. Healthy

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 67.4% vs revenue 9.9%

!
D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs up 209% YoY

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.55 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.55
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.077
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.975
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.405
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.099
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.012
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.97
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0733
TATA
Accruals level
1.14
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

2.67
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0556
Liquidity
0.2876
Cumulative profit
0.0663
Operating efficiency
0.8803
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25