F

National CineMedia, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

NCMI · Communication Services

Major red flags

Revenue
$243M
2025
Net Income
-$11M
2025
Gross Margin
45.9%
Free Cash Flow
$3M
01

Screening Summary

10
Passed
4
Watch
3
Failed
-2.46
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 20 days (126 → 146)

Small-cap context: DSO swings on a small revenue base are more often quarterly customer-mix effects than red flags.

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 16.7% exceeds revenue growth 1.0%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 1.0%, CFFO -86.1%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -3.4% vs revenue 1.0%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 78.5%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 45.9%, change -1.9pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.0B, FCF/NI = -0.26

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -3.9%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers debt $0.0B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.3B = 82% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -23.2x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -17.1% vs revenue 1.0%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

!
E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 2/3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -12% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.46 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.46
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.156
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.042
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.031
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.01
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.09
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.941
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0387
TATA
Accruals level
1.029
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

5.87
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1549
Liquidity
0.4819
Cumulative profit
-0.0204
Operating efficiency
3.2587
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25