F

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

MDGL · Healthcare

Major red flags

Revenue
$958M
2025
Net Income
-$288M
2025
Gross Margin
94.1%
Free Cash Flow
-$193M
01

Screening Summary

9
Passed
4
Watch
3
Failed
0.48
M-Score

Management Signals

View all →
Routine2025-12-11
Rita Thakkar · DirectorAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC
Routine2025-12-11
Rita Thakkar · Senior Vice PresidentAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC
Routine2025-12-11
Rita Thakkar · DirectorAppointment
Standard appointment
SEC

Source: SEC EDGAR 8-K Item 5.02, with exhibit links when available

02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 51 days, change -58 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 149.9% vs revenue growth 432.1%

!
A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue grew 432.1% but CFFO only 58.4%

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 119.7% vs COGS 800.8%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -46.3% vs revenue 432.1%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 90.2%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 94.1%, change -2.4pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.2B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -7.8%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $1.0B covers debt $0.3B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -13.5x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Insufficient data

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = 0.48 (> -1.78). LIKELY MANIPULATOR

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability0.48
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.47
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.025
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.291
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
5.321
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.017
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.352
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0784
TATA
Accruals level
1.876
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-0.99
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.7427
Liquidity
-1.6596
Cumulative profit
-0.2112
Operating efficiency
0.9175
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25