F

LiveWire Group, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

LVWR · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$26M
2025
Net Income
-$75M
2025
Gross Margin
-17.3%
Free Cash Flow
-$57M
01

Screening Summary

12
Passed
3
Watch
2
Failed
-3.06
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 56 days, change -2 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -7.1% vs revenue growth -3.6%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -3.6%, CFFO 42.9%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -43.4% vs COGS -23.6%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -52.8% vs revenue -3.6%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = -1602.8%, excellent (<30%)

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung +30.7pp (-48.0% → -17.3%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.1B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -14.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.1B covers debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 20% of equity. Manageable

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = -296.0x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -26.2% vs revenue -3.6%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -3% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -3.06 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-3.06
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.963
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
2.78
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.896
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.964
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.851
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.755
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.1473
TATA
Accruals level
3.279
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

-5.96
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.5615
Liquidity
-2.056
Cumulative profit
-0.51
Operating efficiency
0.4585
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25