F

El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

LOCO · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$490M
2025
Net Income
$26M
2025
Gross Margin
22.2%
Free Cash Flow
$25M
01

Screening Summary

12
Passed
3
Watch
2
Failed
-2.46
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 8 days, change +1 days YoY

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 18.4% exceeds revenue growth 3.6%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 3.6%, CFFO 2.8%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -6.6% vs COGS 3.2%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 18.6% vs revenue 3.6%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 46.3%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 22.2%, change +0.3pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.82. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.0B, FCF/NI = 0.96

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -3.6%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 3% of debt $0.2B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.3B = 107% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 4.2x (>4x). Financial stress

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 28.7% vs revenue 3.6%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 0% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.46 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.46
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.142
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.988
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.978
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.036
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.015
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.048
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0356
TATA
Accruals level
0.866
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

1.09
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
-0.0881
Liquidity
0.0718
Cumulative profit
0.0693
Operating efficiency
0.9224
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25