F

Eli Lilly and Company — Earnings Quality Grade F

LLY · Healthcare

Major red flags

Revenue
$65.2B
2025
Net Income
$20.6B
2025
Gross Margin
83.0%
Free Cash Flow
$6.0B
01

Screening Summary

10
Passed
5
Watch
3
Failed
-1.85
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

!
A1DSO Change

DSO increased by 10 days

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 61.4% vs revenue growth 44.7%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 44.7%, CFFO 90.7%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 81.1% exceeds COGS 31.3%

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 29.1% vs revenue 44.7%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 20.5%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 83.0%, change +1.7pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF < 50% of Net Income for 3 years

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 3.4%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $7.3B covers only 17% of debt $42.5B

04

Balance Sheet Health

!
D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $12.4B = 47% of equity

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 1.3x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 22.2% vs revenue 44.7%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs normal

05

Acquisition Risk

!
E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 2/3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 4% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

!
F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -1.85 (grey zone)

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-1.85
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.115
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.979
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.78
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.447
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.251
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.892
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.034
TATA
Accruals level
0.936
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

4
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1814
Liquidity
0.2176
Cumulative profit
0.264
Operating efficiency
0.3088
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-08

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) Earnings Quality Grade F — EarningsGrade