D

JAKKS Pacific, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade D

JAKK · Consumer Cyclical

Significant concerns

Revenue
$571M
2025
Net Income
$10M
2025
Gross Margin
32.4%
Free Cash Flow
-$1M
01

Screening Summary

10
Passed
5
Watch
2
Failed
-2.43
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 19 days (70 → 88)

Small-cap context: DSO swings on a small revenue base are more often quarterly customer-mix effects than red flags.

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -17.4%, CFFO -78.2%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

!
B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 13.3% exceeds COGS -19.3%

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -15.0% vs revenue -17.4%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 92.0%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 32.4%, change +1.6pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 0.86. Profits backed by cash

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.0B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 0.3%. Low accruals

!
C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.1B covers 98% of debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 14% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 2.1x. Healthy

!
D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets grew 50.6% vs revenue -17.4%

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -0% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.43 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.43
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.273
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.95
GMI
Gross margin declining?
1.006
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.826
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.945
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.193
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
0.0031
TATA
Accruals level
0.997
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

3.08
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.2736
Liquidity
-0.0928
Cumulative profit
0.0345
Operating efficiency
1.2901
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25