F

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

HGV · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$5.0B
2025
Net Income
$81M
2025
Gross Margin
63.9%
Free Cash Flow
$154M
01

Screening Summary

15
Passed
1
Watch
2
Failed
-2.68
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 14 days, change -2 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -8.7% vs revenue growth 1.3%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 1.3%, CFFO -2.9%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 12.4% vs COGS 1.4%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 15.9% vs revenue 1.3%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 64.7%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 63.9%, change -0.0pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 3.70. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.2B, FCF/NI = 1.90

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -1.9%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers only 3% of debt $7.3B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $3.7B = 284% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 9.7x (>4x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 0.5% vs revenue 1.3%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs normal

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -3% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.68 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.68
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.901
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.972
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.013
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.033
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.047
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.019
TATA
Accruals level
1.066
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

3.26
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.4313
Liquidity
0.0029
Cumulative profit
0.0421
Operating efficiency
0.1277
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25