F

Green Plains, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

GPRE · Basic Materials

Major red flags

Revenue
$2.1B
2025
Net Income
-$121M
2025
Gross Margin
6.5%
Free Cash Flow
$74M
01

Screening Summary

13
Passed
2
Watch
3
Failed
-3.54
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 13 days, change -1 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -21.6% vs revenue growth -14.9%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -14.9%, CFFO 470.0%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory -34.9% vs COGS -16.0%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -60.9% vs revenue -14.9%. Normal

!
B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 89.6%, exceeds 70%

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 6.5%, change +1.2pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO < Net Income for 3 consecutive years

Small-cap context: Small-cap CFFO/NI often diverges from working-capital swings, not necessarily manipulation.

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.1B, FCF/NI = -0.61

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -14.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers only 40% of debt $0.5B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 14.6x (>4x). Interest coverage = -1.1x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -58.1% vs revenue -14.9%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs normal

05

Acquisition Risk

!
E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 2/3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -3.54 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-3.54
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.921
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.81
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.86
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.851
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.855
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
1.222
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.1471
TATA
Accruals level
0.87
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

0.69
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1353
Liquidity
-0.2785
Cumulative profit
-0.0425
Operating efficiency
0.9502
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25