F

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT — Earnings Quality Grade F

GEO · Industrials

Major red flags

Revenue
$2.6B
2025
Net Income
$254M
2025
Gross Margin
Free Cash Flow
-$125M
01

Screening Summary

7
Passed
4
Watch
4
Failed
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 26 days (57 → 82)

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 57.8% exceeds revenue growth 8.6%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 8.6%, CFFO -70.0%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

!
B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 151.0% is >2x revenue growth 8.6%

B3SG&A Ratio

Insufficient data

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 27.7%, change -2.3pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 0.29. Only 29% of profit backed by cash

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-0.1B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = 4.7%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.1B covers only 4% of debt $1.7B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.9B = 58% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = 1.8x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 16.8% vs revenue 8.6%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -1% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

Insufficient data

Portfolio monitoring

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05

Altman Z-Score

2.41
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0941
Liquidity
0.0766
Cumulative profit
0.129
Operating efficiency
0.6436
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25