F

Epsilon Energy Ltd. — Earnings Quality Grade F

EPSN · Energy

Major red flags

Revenue
$52M
2025
Net Income
-$6M
2025
Gross Margin
47.6%
Free Cash Flow
$5M
01

Screening Summary

9
Passed
4
Watch
4
Failed
-3.81
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO surged by 19 days (67 → 86)

Small-cap context: DSO swings on a small revenue base are more often quarterly customer-mix effects than red flags.

!
A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth 109.3% exceeds revenue growth 63.7%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 63.7%, CFFO 22.5%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

No material inventory

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -57.9% vs revenue 63.7%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 36.3%. Normal

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung +10.1pp (37.5% → 47.6%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

!
C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = -3.56. Below 1.0

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF < 50% of Net Income for 2 years

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -11.6%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.0B covers only 18% of debt $0.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

No goodwill. Clean balance sheet

!
D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 6.9x (>4x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 17.7% vs revenue 63.7%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 3 years

Small-cap context: A single acquisition on a small balance sheet can trip serial-acquirer logic.

E2Goodwill Surge

No goodwill

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -3.81 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-3.81
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.279
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.788
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.991
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.637
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.786
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.1157
TATA
Accruals level
5.706
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

0.58
Distress Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.0334
Liquidity
-0.2335
Cumulative profit
-0.0211
Operating efficiency
1.2051
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25