F

Emergent BioSolutions Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

EBS · Healthcare

Major red flags

Revenue
$705M
2025
Net Income
$53M
2025
Gross Margin
53.7%
Free Cash Flow
$157M
01

Screening Summary

12
Passed
2
Watch
3
Failed
-3.63
M-Score

Management Signals

No recent CEO, CFO, board, or accounting leadership signals found in SEC 8-K filings.
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 35 days, change -14 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR growth -50.7% vs revenue growth -30.4%

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -30.4%, CFFO 190.6%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory growth 10.2% far exceeds COGS -52.1%, margin rising. Fraud signal

Small-cap context: Inventory ratios on a small base are noisy; a single product launch can move them sharply.

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -39.7% vs revenue -30.4%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 49.1%. Normal

!
B4Gross Margin

Gross margin swung +21.0pp (32.8% → 53.7%)

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 3.24. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $0.2B, FCF/NI = 2.98

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -8.9%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $0.2B covers only 36% of debt $0.6B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.4B = 84% of equity. Over 50%

!
D2Leverage

Interest coverage = 1.9x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets -24.9% vs revenue -30.4%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -13% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -3.63 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

Portfolio monitoring

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04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-3.63
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
0.709
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
0.61
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.913
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.696
SGI
Revenue growth rate
0.902
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.868
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0895
TATA
Accruals level
0.899
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

3.66
Safe Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.4022
Liquidity
-0.1212
Cumulative profit
0.1078
Operating efficiency
0.6565
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-25