F

Dow Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

DOW · Basic Materials

Major red flags

Revenue
$40.0B
2025
Net Income
-$2.6B
2025
Gross Margin
6.3%
Free Cash Flow
-$1.4B
01

Screening Summary

11
Passed
3
Watch
4
Failed
-2.41
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 43 days, change +3 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue -7.0%, CFFO -64.6%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 0.8% vs COGS -2.4%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth -19.1% vs revenue -7.0%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 55.0%. Normal

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 6.3%, change -4.4pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

!
C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = -0.39. Below 1.0

!
C2Free Cash Flow

FCF is negative ($-1.4B)

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.2%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $3.8B covers only 19% of debt $19.6B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $9.5B = 59% of equity. Over 50%

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 16.5x (>4x). Interest coverage = 0.2x (<2x). Financial stress

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 6.3% vs revenue -7.0%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

Write-offs normal

05

Acquisition Risk

!
E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions negative for 2/3 years

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change -8% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.41 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.41
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.076
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.692
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.947
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
0.93
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.032
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.946
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0624
TATA
Accruals level
1.012
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

2.15
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.1517
Liquidity
0.2867
Cumulative profit
-0.0281
Operating efficiency
0.3903
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Dow Inc. (DOW) Earnings Quality Grade F — EarningsGrade