F

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. — Earnings Quality Grade F

CMG · Consumer Cyclical

Major red flags

Revenue
$11.9B
2025
Net Income
$1.5B
2025
Gross Margin
25.4%
Free Cash Flow
$1.4B
01

Screening Summary

15
Passed
0
Watch
2
Failed
-2.92
M-Score
02

Financial Trends

Revenue & Net Income ($B)

Margins (%)

03

18-Point Screening

01

Revenue Quality

A1DSO Change

DSO 5 days, change +0 days YoY

A2AR vs Revenue Growth

AR outpaced revenue for 2 consecutive years

A3Revenue vs CFFO

Revenue 5.4%, CFFO 0.4%. Cash follows revenue

02

Expense Quality

B1Inventory vs COGS

Inventory 1.2% vs COGS 7.3%. Normal

B2CapEx vs Revenue

CapEx growth 12.3% vs revenue 5.4%. Normal

B3SG&A Ratio

SG&A/Gross Profit = 21.5%, excellent (<30%)

B4Gross Margin

Gross margin 25.4%, change -1.3pp. Stable

03

Cash Flow Quality

C1CFFO vs Net Income

CFFO/NI = 1.38. Profits backed by cash

C2Free Cash Flow

FCF $1.4B, FCF/NI = 0.94

C3Accruals Ratio

Accruals ratio = -6.4%. Low accruals

C4Cash vs Debt

Cash $1.0B covers only 21% of debt $5.1B

04

Balance Sheet Health

D1Goodwill + Intangibles

Goodwill+Intangibles $0.0B = 1% of equity. Manageable

D2Leverage

Debt/EBITDA = 2.1x. Healthy

D3Soft Asset Growth

Other assets 15.7% vs revenue 5.4%. Normal

D4Asset Impairment

No write-off data

05

Acquisition Risk

E1Serial Acquirer FCF

FCF after acquisitions positive

E2Goodwill Surge

Goodwill+Intangibles change 0% YoY. Normal

06

Manipulation Score

F1Beneish M-Score

M-Score = -2.92 (< -2.22). Unlikely manipulator

04

Beneish M-Score

Manipulation Probability-2.92
-4.0 Clean-2.22 Grey-1.78 Danger0
1.031
DSRI
AR growing faster than revenue?
1.051
GMI
Gross margin declining?
0.381
AQI
Asset quality deteriorating?
1.054
SGI
Revenue growth rate
1.034
DEPI
Depreciation slowing?
0.887
SGAI
SG&A ratio changing?
-0.0643
TATA
Accruals level
1.04
LVGI
Leverage increasing?
05

Altman Z-Score

2.41
Grey Zone
0 Distress1.102.605.0+ Safe
0.031
Liquidity
0.0689
Cumulative profit
0.2238
Operating efficiency
0.4592
Leverage

Generated from public financial data using forensic accounting frameworks. Not investment advice. Data: Yahoo Finance · 2026-04-10

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Earnings Quality Grade F — EarningsGrade